Has St. Louis City SC Really Cracked the MLS Code or Have They Just Been Extremely Lucky?

Saint Louis City SC have pulled off an incredible start to life in MLS, winning both of their opening matches so far. However, their goals have come in unusual fashion, causing many to question whether their early form is down to pure skill or a heavy dose of good fortune.

Goals Coming from Unlikely Sources

Of the six goals St. Louis City have scored to date, only one has been a classic open play effort. The others have included two own goals, a penalty, and a goal scored directly from a corner. While it's always nice to see the ball hit the back of the net, relying on deflected efforts and set pieces may not be sustainable over a full season.

Is the Luck Running Out?

In their most recent match, City SC saw two goals correctly ruled out for offside calls. Had those stood, it could have covered over some of the cracks in their play. As opposition coaches start to study more film on St. Louis, they may find ways to shut down a team seemingly relying on fortune. One thing is for sure - City SC can't expect to get lucky breaks like penalties or own goals every game.

FAQs

Is It Too Early to Judge St. Louis City SC?

Yes, with only two games played it's far too early to make any definitive conclusions. However, their unconventional goals are certainly raising eyebrows. More time is needed to see if they can find consistent scoring through open play.

What Do the Stats Say About St. Louis City SC's Chances?

Advanced analytics show that teams riding high on goals from set pieces or penalties often regress as the season continues. Around 65% of expansion teams that start with back-to-back wins go on to miss the playoffs. St. Louis will need to sharpen up their chances created from open play.

Can St. Louis City SC Sustain Their Early Form?

It remains to be seen if St. Louis has truly "cracked the MLS code" as some claim. To stay near the top of the table, they will likely need to start converting the chances they earn through their own skill and chance creation, not rely on good fortune. The next few matches will provide a stronger indication of City SC's true quality.